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Trawler breakdowns in Argentina push Iceland Seafood to cut its 2026 profit outlook

CFO Drive

The Iceland Seafood 2026 forecast now targets EUR 8.5–10.5 million normalised PBT, cut after trawler breakdowns in Argentina and a bad debt in France.

The Iceland Seafood 2026 forecast now calls for normalised profit before tax of EUR 8.5–10.5 million, down from EUR 11.5–13.5 million. Iceland Seafood International said on November 10, 2026, that breakdowns on its freezer trawlers in Argentina were the main cause.

Key points

  • Iceland Seafood International lowered its 2026 normalised profit before tax (PBT) outlook to EUR 8.5–10.5 million, from EUR 11.5–13.5 million.
  • The company says the new range is comparable to its 2025 result.
  • Breakdowns on freezer trawlers in Argentina cut catches, and land-based operations there also underperformed, according to the company.
  • A bad debt of about EUR 0.5 million weighed on its French operations.
  • The revised range leaves out any effect of a possible sale of Ahumados Domínguez.

Why was the Iceland Seafood 2026 forecast cut?

Mostly because of Argentina. The company says breakdowns hit the freezer trawlers it runs there, so catches came in lower than targeted, and its Argentine processing on land also fell short. A roughly EUR 0.5 million bad debt in France added to the gap. Iceland Seafood says management has acted to reduce the chance of similar operational problems next year and that the rest of the group continues to perform well.

The revision arrived on November 10, eight days before the third-quarter results that the company's financial calendar lists for November 18. For issuers on European markets, Article 17 of the EU Market Abuse Regulation requires inside information that directly concerns the issuer to be made public as soon as possible, kept separate from marketing, and left on the issuer's website for at least five years.

2026 outlook Normalised PBT Basis
Previous EUR 11.5–13.5 million As published earlier by the company
Revised, November 10, 2026 EUR 8.5–10.5 million Excludes any effect of an Ahumados Domínguez sale

What decides where 2026 lands within the new range?

The fourth quarter. Iceland Seafood calls it the most important quarter of its year, and says results in it, including the opening of the coming Rawson season in Argentina, will set where in the EUR 8.5–10.5 million range the full year ends. The group's companies include Achernar, which Iceland Seafood's website describes as one of the largest exporters of Argentinean red shrimp.

The possible sale of Ahumados Domínguez, the group's smoked salmon producer, is a separate question. The company says no deal has been concluded and the price would be uncertain if one is reached, so the forecast does not count it.

What can finance leaders take from the revision?

Our analysis: the revision combines three different kinds of shortfall, each with a different owner in a finance team: equipment reliability at sea (the trawler breakdowns), operating performance on land in Argentina, and a customer credit loss in France. Management says it has acted to reduce the risk of the first happening again, and the company put a figure of about EUR 0.5 million on the third. It also ties where the year lands inside the new range to its most important quarter, including the start of the Rawson season, and keeps the possible Ahumados Domínguez sale out of the number.

For finance leaders writing their own outlook changes, that structure is a usable template: old and new range side by side, causes named by operation, the bad debt sized, a pending disposal kept separate, and the deciding period named. Our contributors cover the communication side in keeping credibility in investor updates when the outlook changes and how CFOs communicate a forecast miss to the board.

Frequently asked questions

Does the new forecast include the Ahumados Domínguez sale?

No. Iceland Seafood says the potential sale has not been concluded and the revised forecast takes no account of any effect from it.

When does Iceland Seafood report its third-quarter 2026 results?

The financial calendar on the company's investors page lists Q3 2026 results for 18 November 2026, and fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 results for 24 February 2027.

Who can investors contact about the revision?

The company directs questions to CEO Ægir Páll Friðbertsson at +354 550 8010 or investors@icelandseafood.com.

Sources